Thursday, April 17, 2014

Monte Carlo Quarterfinals

So clay is the great equalizer?  A tournament that others may have the chance to go deep and earn some big points?  Forget all that.  We were on the way to seeing the top eight seeds through the quarters in Monte Carlo (#7 Gasquet pulled out late) when inexplicably Berdych lost the 2nd and 3rd sets to Garcia-Lopez.  Still, 7 of the 8 seeds are still around plus one impostor.  The top 2 have looked almost unbeatable, especially Djokovic, who has lost 2 games in 2 matches.

Here are the last eight standing:

1) Rafael Nadal (ESP)
2) Novak Djokovic (SRB)
3) Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI)
4) Roger Federer (SUI)
6) David Ferrer (ESP)
8) Milos Raonic (CAN)
9) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)
Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (ESP)

-Nadal, Djokovic, Wawrinka, Federer, and Ferrer have all not lost a set though Wawrinka received a walkover to the quarterfinals.
-Three 3 Spaniards and 2 Swiss remaining along with a Serb, Canadian, and Frenchman.
-Garcia-Lopez is now riding an 8-match winning streak and reaches his 2nd Masters quarter ('10 Shanghai).
-Four men are still alive from the '13 quarters: Djokovic (W), Nadal (F), Tsonga (SF), Wawrinka (QF).  Fognini (R3 l. to Tsonga), Gasquet (w/d), Dimitrov (R3 l. to Ferrer), and Nieminen (R1 l. to Ramos) fail to get back to the quarters.
-Ferrer has climbed over Berdych to get back into the top 5. Garcia-Lopez is up to #32 so there's a good chance he'll be seeded at the French Open. Otherwise not much movement in the rankings.

I am still holding that it will be hard to not see a Nadal-Djokovic rematch in the final, and given Djokovic's form it would be hard to pick against him were that to happen.

Quarterfinal Matchups:

Nadal vs Ferrer
Wawrinka vs Raonic
Federer vs Tsonga
Djokovic vs Garcia-Lopez

American Play: none

Other notable wins include Llodra qualifying (on clay mind you) and then taking out a slumping Janowicz.  Llodra has been out injured for a bit.  Carreno Busta, who emerged last spring and then kind of disappeared, got in as a lucky loser, then beat Dodig and Monfils before winning just 1 game against Djokovic.

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